With so many people saving more today, and also facing an increased possibility of being laid off and changing jobs, using the 401k rollover option is a way to maintain some control oer your retirement security.  Unfortunately, the roll over is not very well explained or understood by most investors.  It’s something we advocate very strongly – to get your money out of the hands of mutual fund managers who do not have your best interests at heart!  It might mean you need to take the time to learn to invest money beyond your current knowledge, but that is FAR better – and more profitable – than sitting idly and helplessly watching your retirement nest egg vanish without any comment from your plan administrator or your company’s mutual fund managers…

When you have a retirement plan set up by your employer, the investment options are always very limited. They don’t want to pay a lot of money in admin fees, nor take a lot of risk, by offering a wide selection of investment vehicles to their employees. The management headaches are too great.  And, their plan consultants are probably telling them all the same conventional crap about perpetual growth, stock market returns, etc etc. 

However, once you set up a self direct IRA using your 401k rollover, you can start investing in all types of vehicles for retirement that were previously unavailable.  Now, you can start taking control over your money,and not leaving it to the mercy of conservative – or worse, convention – mutual fund managers.

To roll over your 401k account, you first open a new, self-directed IRA account with your new broker of choice.  As you complete the paperwork, you’ll se that they ask if this is a rollover account.  If so, they will give you all the appropriate paperwork to have everything transferred from your employer’s plan.  As long as you aren’t taking any withdrawals from your retirement account, there are no penalties or taxes required. 

You have four main options when you leave your employer, as to what to do with your 401k rollover.  They are, in order of preference:

1) Cash in your account. BEWARE: if you cash out your account prior to your statutory allowance, you will pay taxes and penalties!
2) Stay with the retirement plan from your previous employer. This is where you could stay if you really just don’t care about what happens to your money. 
3) Transfer the balance of your prior retirement account into the retirement plan offered by your new employer. At least here you can keep an eye on it.
4) Open a Self Directed 401k Rollover IRA account with another broker or mutual fund of your choice, and transfer all retirement funds into that account.

We don’t recommend you ever do #1 unless you are in serous, dire financial difficulty.  You will lose roughly 40% of your account in fees and penalties.  As for options #2 and #3, these are both  conservative, hands off type decisions.  If you just don’t want to think about making your money work for you, or even think about it at all, then leave them in the hands of the mutual funds your employers have chosen for you.  But don’t complain when you lose money! 

Only by choosing #4 will you have a new chance to really build up your account balances for retirement.  With this account you will learn more about investing,  and have the option of buying and selling whatever investments you choose that fit your personal financial plan.  It’s not for everyone, but by learning a little about investing, you can gain a lot more secure retirement.

The biggest problem with employer retirement plans offered to employees is that they include a very limited number of investment choices. Of the ones offered, many overlap in the types of stocks and bonds they invest in. A study from Columbia University found that the median number of mutual funds made available to employees was just 13. And this included all funds, even money market funds, fixed income funds, and balanced funds, as well as stocks.

Since you have fewer investment choices within your 401k, your employer-sponsored plan hampers your ability to profit during different market trends and to reposition your retirement balance into accounts with stocks, bonds, mutual funds and ETFs that offer higher risk-reward profiles.

The best thing you can do is to set up a 401k Rollover account with a brokerage that will give you access to all the types of investments available in the market.  (We use TradeKing for all of our accounts, since they have great educational materials and really low fees.)  By opening up a 401k roll over IRA at another company, you can break out of the limits of your employer-sponsored plan and thereby increase exponentially the number of mutual funds, stocks, bonds, ETFs, money markets and more that you have available for investing. Choose a broker that has great resources for investors to learn, such as large investor discussion groups, materials about how to invest, training videos and so on. There’s always something to learn to grow your retirement account to its fullest potential.

It’s easy to see how you might improve our retirement account returns.  If you transfer $50,000 out of your 401k plan, and move it to the Rollover IRA, having a wider range of investment choices can mean that your annual return increases from 8% in the old 401k, to 12% in the Rollover IRA. After 20 years, your roll over IRA will be worth $482,315, more than twice the $233,048 that you would have had if you’d kept your funds in the employer-sponsored plan – and that assumes you haven’t added any deposits to your Rollover IRA.

So how do you set up a 401k rollover account?  There are two ways you can do it.  You can start by opening a Rollover IRA account with your new broker (also known as a self directed IRA, because now you call the shots!)  After that account is set up, you can contact your plan administrator from your former employer and ask to transfer your assets into the new account.

After that your two choices are to have the money sent directly from your previous 401k plan, into the rollover IRA account. This is known as a direct rollover. The second alternative is the indirect rollover, where you you take a distribution of the funds from the retirement plan, then deposit them yourself into your new roll over account.  Other than in the event some exception applies, you are given 60 days to get that distribution into the new account and avoid any taxes or penalties for a withdrawal.  Check with your old and new plan administrators to see which is right for you.

Now that you have set up your 401k rollover account, you can continually leverage that account each time you switch jobs, by moving any accumulated 401k investments into the rollover account.  You just have to instruct your employer’s retirement plan administrator to transfer your assets to the new IRA account.

There is also an option for your to continue to deposit funds to your new IRA, however check to see whether you are subject to limits regarding annual contribution amounts.

The bottom line is, why leave your retirement funds to sit in an account where they are not going to work as hard for you as possible?  Opening up your own self-directed IRA by transferring to a 401k rollover is your best option for growing your future retirement nest egg.   Your new 401k rollover, now opened up as a self-directed IRA, will give you much more control over growing your retirement savings.

Well, that was pretty much not true. (Statistically, it’s only true if you are VERY selective in how you read historical data, and do not discount for inflation.) No matter what, all investors need to learn to invest stock, learn to invest money, and understand the stock market and how the cycles of the market work. In addition, it’s been pretty clear that the market was affected by unique financial instruments as well as a real estate bubble which continues to this day and may continue for the next few years.

So as you try to learn how to invest safely, whether it’s invest in stock, invest in bonds, or even invest in real estate, you have to realize you will never stop learning, because the market is dynamic and changing.

You will also find that there is no way to calculate returns, that is, promise returns of a certain percent, because “that’s what the market has returned historically”. the problem with that statement is that there is no historical measure that will match the exact years in which you are invested in the market. For example, if you started investing in the early 1990′s, after several crashed and discounting for inflation, you are pretty much back to where you started. Plus, historical returns do not mean that you will continue to get those in the future, as there are events that can occur – terrorism, bubbles and so on – that you can’t predict, and can affect your returns and investments dramatically.

There really isn’t any easy way to invest, because whatever else you do, you will have to put in the time to learn to invest according to your goals and risk tolerance, and it’s the time that few people have. You can’t simply rely on the market returns any more to just go up and up, so that you have a lot of cash when it’s time to retire. That does not mean there are not ways to invest money that will bring profits. It simply means that in order to make money in the market, you need to learn more, and also manage your accounts more actively than simply reassessing your holding once a year and that’s it.

To learn to invest money, the best way is to start with whatever services your broker offers. Many online brokers have a variety of educational materials, so that’s a good place to start. sites like Yahoo! Finance also offer many education materials and discussion groups for you to take advantage of. All of the major investing magazines, like Smart Money, Kiplinger’s and so on, have websites as well. That’s not to say that you should take their word for what to invest in, far from it. instead, use that information as a starting point. From there, you should also investigate good books about investing, from your local library, to learn to invest money in the right strategy for you.

It’s important to learn how do  mutual funds work, if you’re not clear on the specifics. Long term (and we don’t know exactly what that means), stocks are likely to go up. Eventually. But at what rate? How long will it take? Is this downturn “different” than the last time? It all makes things very difficult for the investor that use to spend ten minutes a month sending money to their index fund in their 401(K). Yet with all the many indexes around the world, there may be some opportunities there.

For index mutual funds, the fund share price will change according to the index performance. For example, thousands of mutual funds use the S&P 500 as the base of their portfolio. But the S&P is heavily weighted with financials, so there has been a real loss for investors who chose that index fund. you’ll also find there are many differences between  funds for operating expenses and “load” fees.  Fees and commissions can compound a loss in share price.

When you’re looking at index funds, you may also consider looking at Exchange Traded Funds, or ETFs. These are really just baskets of stocks, and don’t require the same active management as do mutual funds, even index mutual funds. You can choose ETFs that include the best of certain stocks or industries, but leave out the financial companies or other industries you want to avoid. You will also find lower fees for ETFs vs. most index funds. For the long term investor who wants to put certain amounts in each month, you want to stick with low fees. but today, even with index mutual funds, you don’t want to think that you can simply choose the best mutual fund, send your money, and in ten years you’ll be rich. For example, as of today, all gains for the past ten years were wiped out with the rcent market downturn. So again, what is the “long term” time horizon you are comfortable with?

The best strategy for investing in index mutual funds is one where you review regularly, move your funds according to market conditions, and don’t expect it to be like the old days a whole 10 months ago – you will have to be more actively aware of what your money is doing to avoid losses.

To an extent, diversification of your portfolio can help, if you add bond funds, emerging markets and other different types of indexes to your mix. In this crazy market, be sure you are knowledgable about what stocks you ar invested in, even if you’re investing in an index fund. That’s the best way to avoid big losses in your index mutual fund, and enjoy long term gains.

There are many reasons for their popularity, but it could be due to historically good returns, or that they are easy to buy and sell. With the billions flowing into 401(K) accounts, mutual funds also gain the lion’s share of such investment. They also offer a way to diversify and dilute risk.

Here’s how mutual funds work:  A mutual fund takes money from investors looking to invest in stocks, bonds, or a variety of other securities. It is basically a conglomeration of multiple individual investments. As this grouping of investments gains or loses value, investors will gain or lose also. When a mutual fund pays dividends, the investor receives his or her share. Mutual funds are professionally managed, and because of the variety of investments, can help investors be diversified. Investors have been led to believe for some time that mutual funds can do a large part of the investing work for an investor.

As for the business side, a mutual fund is a company that pools money from many investors and then invests the total on behalf of the group, in compliance with a specific set of investment goals. Mutual funds raise their money by selling shares of the fund to the public, in the same way that a company sells ownership shares of stock. It is this pool of funds that the fund company will use to make various investments, using vehicles such as stocks, bonds, and money market instruments.

When a shareholder purchases a share in a fund, they receive an equity position in the fund and, by extension, a share of each of the fund’s underlying securities. Usually, shareholders may sell any or all of their shares at any time, but as with other investments, the price of a share will change daily, based on the performance of the underlying securities in the fund.

When choosing a mutual fund, you should keep in mind your personal financial plan and goals. To start, don’t just rely on features such as past mutual fund performance - these do not reflect future performance in any way as many have learned the hard way today. Instead, start by determining your financial priorities, what financial resources you have, how you consider investment diversification, your feeling about how much risk to assume, and what your time horizon is for your investment goals.

If you only look at total returns you are seeing only half the story. Mutual fund returns show past performance, but even if the returns are high, are they competitive with the market for comparable investments? And will it necessarily reflect how a fund will do in a poor market if the returns have been gained only during up years? You should do your research into the underlying investments, fees, and performance before assuming a good total return means the fund is a quality investment. be sure to compare it to other similar funds over the same period. Using research, you can find what are the top mutual funds for your investment style and goals.

As it is often said, past performance can’t predict future results. After the recent downturn in the market, it’s clear that ever-rising values have hit the wall. It’s not certain either when or if the market will return to consistent growth. So, it is becoming all the more important to understand how mutual funds work, what the underlying investments are, and how they can fit into your long term investment plan given the current market conditions.

Globally, there are thousands of different hedge funds operating. Their main goal is of course to make lots of money, and to do so by investing in a variety of different investments and investments strategies. Often the strategies used are more aggressive than than the investment strategies of standard mutual funds.

Generally, a hedge fund operates as a private investment fund. The fund’s general partner selects different investments and also manages the trading activity and everyday operations of the fund. The investors or limited partners will invest much of the money and share in the gains of the fund. The general manager often charges a small management fee and earns a large incentive-based bonus if the investments earn a high rate of return.

While this might sound like a mutual fund, there are some important differences between mutual funds and hedge funds:

1. Mutual funds are managed by mutual fund or investment companies and are quite heavily regulated by federal law. Hedge funds, since they are private funds, have (so far) fewer restrictions and regulations.

2. Mutual fund companies invest only their client’s money, but hedge funds can invest their client’s money as well as their own money in the underlying investments.

3. Hedge funds charge their clients a performance bonus, usually equal to 20% percent of the gains above a certain floor amount. This is in line with equity market returns. Some hedge funds have successfully generated annual rates returns of 50% or more, even during volatile or difficult market environments. A mutual fund return is usually not as high.

4. Mutual funds have disclosure requirements, as well as other prohibitions against investing in derivative products, such as using leverage, short selling, taking too large a position in one investment, or investing in commodities. Hedge funds however may invest client funds however they wish.

5. Hedge funds are restricted from soliciting investments, and this is why you hear very little about these funds. During the five years prior to September 2008, some of these funds have doubled, tripled, or even quadrupled in value or higher. However, it’s important to remmeber that hedge funds do incur large risks and in this difficult economy, many funds will likely disappear after losing big.

Hedge funds are just another way to protect wealth, but in a tough economic environment, it’s likely that some restrictions will be imposed in the future.

That’s what we’re seeing right now. People are afraid. They do not feel confident – confident that they will keep their jobs, confident that they will keep their homes, confident that their retirement investments will be there when they are old.

Television, web sites, financial advisers, the analysts on Wall Street, the Wall Street bankers – all are playing a huge confidence game, and we, the investing public, are their victims.  These vultures have really benefited, ever since the 401(K) really took off, and it was clear that regular Americans, now deprived of pensions and other ways to retire comfortably, would just shovel money in without really  knowing anything at all about wise investing, on the promise that “over time, the market returns 8%-10%-14%” you name a figure.  The whole thing has been a con.

But really, what I wanted to talk about is confidence, and how to regain it.  Think:  What would it be like to feel confident that your money was safe, right now?  Think of the stress that would be off your shoulders.  Think of how you would breathe easier, knowing that whatever the market was doing, up or down, you are in a secure position, not losing, not having to learn more than you have time to learn, or more than you can understand.  Not know what the heck to do as you watch the market numbers go down.

What would it take to feel confident that your money was safe?  A friend of mine was completely freaked out, and kept asking me, What should I do with my retirement accounts? (This was last November, she was down 15%.)  I told her I thought the markets would keep going down, for some time, but that was just my opinion, and she needed to do what she felt was safe.

Her adviser (who was completely ripping her off in fees by the way, but she didn’t know that) kept saying “Oh no, you are in for the long term, don’t worry about blips in the market.”

Yet when I looked at my friend, all I saw was worry!  She kept saying she hated the markets, hated having to think about being in stocks.  She did not like the stock market, did not like that she couldn’t understand it.  Her confidence was shattered, and so was her emotional well-being.

I asked her:  Given how you feel right now, are you willing to bet what money you have left that not only will the markets stop going down, but that they will go up enough in one year to recoup what you’ve already lost?  Her answer was no.

I said to her:  If you are this uncomfortable in the stock market, take your money out!  Get this monkey off your back!  You can earn small but secure returns in money markets, CDs, and even learn later about government bonds or other less risky investments.  Will you earn 8%, 10%, 12%?  No, but that is never a sure thing anyway.

She moved all of her accounts to money market funds.  Her relief was palpable. She could breathe again!  She did not have to spend day in and day out worrying and watching tee vee, watching her hard word slip away from her.  Today, she feels a whole lot better for sure that she’s missed the downturn in the last 4-5 months as well.

If you feel insecure being invested in stocks, if you do not have confidence that  your money is in a secure place – then move it. Now. Today.  If your advisor tried to talk you out of that, remember that they have a vested interest in getting fees from you.  Move your money out of their claws.  Your gut is at least as accurate as any investor – including me!  No one has any answers in a market – possibly a depression – like this.

In case you care, and I’m not saying you should do any of this, here’s what I would do, and actually is what I am doing right now:

Move your money to a high-interest savings account.  ING Direct is a good one, and if you also open chekcing, you can access your money wit a debit card.  High Interest these days is just under 2%, but would you rather make 2% or lose 25%?

One your money is safe, then learn about what is out there that is cash or cash-like, and then move some money into those accounts. For example, there are government bond mutual funds like GNMA, or inflation-adjusted bond funds or ETFs where you can invest, and earn a few more points, and your money is relatively safe.  Note:  Funds and ETFs are not insured accounts. For FDIC insurance, you shoudl be in a money market, or CD, and verify it is insured with the institution.

You can then take some money out of savings, and open accounts with a low-cost broker like TradeKing.  Buy into some of those cash-type vehicles through these low fee brokers.

Once you are securely set there, you can explore other ideas, like buying some gold or silver, or some commodities, or buying stocks in foreign countries like China, which are available as ETFs or within a fund.  (I prefer ETFs but more on that another time.)

I also only put the company match into my 401(K).  I put extra money into a ROTH and Individual IRA outside my company, into a self-directed brokerage account, where I can decide for myself where to invest my money – I’m not stuck with the investments and rules my employer decides is right for me. They’ve already proven they have no idea how to protect my retirement interests.

The bottom line is, you need to restore your own confidence.  The so-called advisors are not going to help you.  Television is not going to help you.  If you are scared, fearful, anxious, take steps NOW to remove that stress from your life.

Your money can in fact be safe, and there are in fact places to invest where you can make money right now.  Just not in the ways that the con men will tell you about.

It’s truly hilarious, if it weren’t so sad: She starts out saying “We’ve lost 20% this year, and a decade’s worth of gains.”  So what’s their advice?  Keep putting money into the market!!

If you have stock mutual funds in your investment account and have been listening to her since September and taken her advice to stay in the market and continue to invest, YOUR 401(K) IS DOWN AN ADDITIONAL 25% OR MORE.    I already have a problem with investing in 401(K) products, they are not designed for people who don’t know what they are doing, and can be very dangerous – as so many are unfortunately finding out right now.

If you had done the OPPOSITE of what she said, and got your money out of stock mutual funds, and instead put your money into “conservative” investments – government bonds for example – you would be up anywhere from 1% to 5%.  You would effectively be up 30% because YOU DIDN’T LOSE that 25% and in fact MADE money!

Which position would you rather be in?  Why are you listening to this person?

Remember – she works for CNBC.  This is the channel that continually trumpets the market bottoms; ask “when is the market going to turn”; trying to convince people that it’s a “good time to buy” and the market is “on sale”.   Jon Stewart put it perfectly. You should really really watch that video.  Then shut off the tee vee.

Her show’s “experts” talked about long term investing, putting aside what can wait for long term gains, and saving what you need short term.  They describe how to take into stride the bear and bull markets.  Except for one thing:  This is far different than typical swings in the marketplace. This is not just a “bear” market.  This is a RECESSION, and it could become a DEPRESSION.  None of these so-called “advisors” are telling you how to invest in a depression…  because they don’t know!

If you listen to Wong Ulrich, and follow her advice, you are selling out your investments to the professionals.  When the market goes down, someone has to buy when someone sells.  When professionals sell, can you guess who is still buying at these prices?  And who is continuing to buy on the way down?  That’s right, it’s YOU – you are financing the exodus from the market by the professionals.

If you are trying to figure out what to do with the mutual funds in your 401(K), if you are watching your investment account shrivel up and die, Wong Ulrich is a PERFECT example of what is wrong with the talking heads on television who supposedly are “helping” you figure out whether to get out of mutual funds.

I wish I could contact the poor souls who called in to her show yesterday.  There were two in particular:  J who is only 29 and S who is 44.  I hope to God they did NOT take her advice (and WHY the hell are they calling her in the first place to learn what to do!!????).

J at 29 had moved his money into a conservative account until things get better.  He is taking the 3% he can get there, and waiting for the market to get better.  The “expert” she had on her show, “K.T.”, another advice catastrophe, told J that “You’re too young to be in a guaranteed account” – What the hell does that mean?  That he should lose money because he’s “young”?  That he can’t move his money in a year when the market looks up?  That he needs to lose even more money so he can be there when it starts to move up?

I’ll ask again what I ALWAYS ask – Why should you lose more money, for another year? Two? Three?  Why not SAVE what you have now?  There is this amazing buy-and-hold myth that the investments in your 401(K) shouldn’t be touched. Why?  If that were the case, they would prevent people from ever reallocating.   But you can make changes for a reason – to save your money!

J had it right:  He has reallocated his investment into something that is making money!  I hope he IGNORES HER ADVICE, and the advice of her fellow idiot, K.T.

K.T. should be thrown in jail as a danger to anyone trying to save what tattered investment accounts they still have left.   His firm is touted by Barron’s Magazine.  So. What.  Listen to the “advice” he gives to J:  “OK, so you’re losing money but do you want security today, or security tomorrow?”   What he’s telling this poor guy to accept is NO security today, and LESS security tomorrow!  That’s his professional advice!!  These people should be kicked off tee vee as dangers to the public!  He says: “The last day of the bear market is the first day of the bull market.”  Pithy, but what the hell does it mean?  Good thing he has little pithy things to say as you continue to lose your hard earned money.  Carmen responds:  ” And you want to be there when it turns!”  Well what would stop you from moving your money into the stock market when it truly has turned?   Nothing, actually, other than feeling confident that it’s time to move into stocks – and not still uncertain because you’ve been burned by talking heads who  know nothing about how you should really invest, choosing instead to spout “conventional” – meaning wrong – advice.

How about security today AND security tomorrow? How about protecting your investments, your hard work, your sacrifice?

Funny, Wong never asks her guest, “How much cash is YOUR company holding right now?  What percentage of your accounts are in LONG stocks? and what are your 12-month and YTD returns?”  Hmmm??

This rant is WAY longer than one post.  Stay tuned to hear the dangerous advice she gave S, a 44 year old man who’s lost 40% of his account already…

And I’ll explain what options you have, to help you keep your money safe. Sort of.

Update: Due to pressure from the guest on the show, we’ve changed his initials. The advice still stinks. Read this post about Self-Directed Discount Brokers, and click the link to Why I Fired My Broker from the Washington Post. Remember – just because we are in another bubble, does not mean this advice is sound, solid, and reliable for the long term. We are still off 20-30% from the highs of 2007. Many other experts believe we are in another bubble that is going to burst eventually. Use your judgment. Learn exactly WHY the stock market is up since March (i.e., the banks have been infused with your tax dollars, the S&P is overweight with financials, etc.). Learn, and determine for yourself whether this is sustainable, and where your money is safest – don’t rely on “conventional wisdom” and “buy and hold”, including the posts on this site. Don’t throw away a percentage of your return potential by spending it on “experts”, paying fees and charges that are unnecessary. Do your own trading in a self-directed account, otherwise don’t expect to win in the markets, they are stacked against the small so-called “investor” who doesn’t want to know anything about the market but expects to be rich in 20 years. Too many people have already learned the hard way that this doesn’t work – don’t be one of them.

Guess what? The tee vee “experts” were saying that in November ’08 too, so if you listened - to CNN or CNBC or FOX or XYZ  - tell me, where are you now?

I’ll say it again: in a volatile market, why not get out of mutual funds, at least with part of your money, and put it somewhere you can make a little, and wait for things to turn? I would rather make 2% in a savings account for a year than lose another 10% in a stock fund.

Some ideas:

- For investment accounts: Get out of the dang index funds – they include too many companies that are at risk.  If you aren’t willing to learn to invest stock so that you can confidently buy individual stocks or ETFs, then put your money in a CD.   If your financial adviser is still losing you money, don’t be afraid to move your account.  Anyone advising you to stay put is going to lose you more money.  IMHO.

- For a retirement account: If you get a company  match, meet it with your 401(K) contributions, but NO MORE.  Then take that money and invest in insured money market funds or “inflation fighter” funds – avoid the index funds!  They are for later, probably not this year, but maybe next, not until you are confident the market is again moving in the right direction.

- If you have a 401(K) right now, you are likely down 30-40%.  But don’t take it all out of your retirement account – you’ll get slammed yet again with fees and penalties.  Reallocate within your 401k to whatever funds are closest to cash, Treasuries or A rated bonds – ask your plan administrator.  (NOTE:  This is not 100% safe either however in a credit freeze.)

- If you lose or leave your job, immediatly switch your retirement account to a 401k rollover – as well as funds you haven’t rolled over from previous jobs – roll them into self directed IRA accounts, using a discount brokerage.  DO NOT ROLL OVER TO YOUR NEW COMPANY – or your investment options will be severely limited to mostly stock index funds!  In a self-directed fund, you can invest in ETFs for commodities, metals, shorts, and a wide variety of other funds. We like Scottrade as well as TradeKing for to discount brokers.  (Not affiliate links! We just like them!)

- For non investment money, get your hands on as much cash as you can, and put it into an insured money  market fund. Hold off doing anything until you (1) spend time to learn to invest stock so that “what to do” is not a crap shoot, (2) understand why your 401K was so risky to begin with, and (3) find good ideas about where to look for solid returns, including experts who have a track record you can believe.

Now you’ll have to start to learn to invest money.  There are places to make money, maybe not in a 401k but if you also open a Roth IRA or other account, you can make up for that outside your job. And if you get laid off, you can roll the money into your self-directed account.

There are places to be making money now, but you have to feel comfortable you know what you’re doing, and be comfortable with a degree of risk that we haven’t been trained to accept. But the rewards in this market, and for the next few years, will only come with more risks.  If you aren’t comfortable with that, then you need to stay safe in cash or similar vehicles.

Image by scottwills via Flickr

I wanted to go back on something I posted a few posts ago.  You probably SHOULD keep investing in a 401(K) or other retirement plan, at least up to the company match, if you are lucky enough to get one.  The danger is in continuing to put your hard earned dollars into this market through some kind of standard index mutual fund.

My co-worker argues with me: Oh, it’s dollar cost averaging!  We’re buying on sale! It’s OK to lose, because I have a 20 year time horizon!!  What a bunch of Bull!   Why should you lose two years or more worth of increases of any kind, and actually take a loss?Then, take the next two years after that, or longer God forbid, to get back to where your balances equal just your inital investment?

Dollar cost averaging is for dupes! It’s to make you believe it’s EASY to manage your own retirement, so that your employer doesn’t have to feel guilty about not offering any kind of fixed retirement plan any more.  Meanwhile, you will LOSE 4 years of any return at all, plus principal, if you are just following the “conventional wisdom”.

Investments experts are not “dollar cost averaging”.  They are sitting on the sidelines with their cash. The are investing in short ETFs, currencies, and corporate bonds, all of which you likely have NO access to in your 401K.  Only the dupes keep “buying” stocks at these crappy levels, because they haven’t taken the time to learn something and stop their contribution from going into the same old index fund.  OF COURSE Wall Street is telling you to keep contributing, so they have someone to SELL TO.

So, put your $$ into your retirement fund, up to the company match, to keep saving, but keep it in the government bond fund or the savings account fund. What the heck, why not EARN 3% instead of LOSING 20%.  Then in 2 years when the market slowly creeps back, THEN switch your allocations.  For everything you want to save beyond your company match, set up a self-directed ROTH.  Put as much as you can in there.  And LEARN how to invest, find other vehicles that are actually making money (they are out there).  Otherwise, you’re just throwing it away.