May 17th, 2009 — Economic crisis, Investing, Retirement, Self Directed IRA
I finally heard Suze Orman say it last night – to set up a self directed IRA rollover account with a discount brokerage so that YOU are in control of your funds. I don’t think you can get video of her broadcasts, I will keep looking for the link.
At the beginning of the downturn in mid-2008, she had some typical, conventional things to say, you know, the old “if you’re in the market for ten more years then stay put” crap, but she’s coming around. Now she is telling folks facing imminent retirement that they need self directed accounts and to set up 401K rollover accounts – and not leave them at the mercy of a former employer.
She also answered one caller, whose employer has stopped the match and who makes too much to contribute to a ROTH, telling her NOT to “keep putting in the max to your 401k”. Wow – she instead said do a non-tax deductible IRA, then roll it into a ROTH each year. Go Suze! BTW – so many money types say only put in up to the match, then go ROTH or otherwise – Jim Cramer, now Suze. Maybe some folks will get the message.
So what do you do? Open a self directed IRA or a 401k rollover account with a top rated discount broker. Learn to invest money in the markets. LEARN what works, for YOU. Don’t expect anyone to tell you the right thing to do. Then place your own investments. Today, you can even open a Roth 401k with a discount broker.
And while I”m at it – I’m passing this article around to all of my friends. The article, by Jeffrey Goldberg, is titled “Why I Fired My Broker” and it explains why you should too. Read it and understand why your employer’s 401k managers and financial advisors generally are a waste of your time.
Their job is to make money for their firm. Not protect you from downturns. As long as their losses aren’t as great as the losses in the index funds, they consider that a “win”.
There are many ways to invest money that are safer for the long term, but you will have to learn more about investing, learn more about the markets, and not just expect to park your money in a mutual fund somewhere and let it sit. This is not just a “down” market. This is potentially a stagnant market, with little or limited growth for years, even decades, to come. It requires a different understanding to be successful, as opposed to just waiting out a temporary downturn in a bull market as has happened in the past. You will have to learn the best way to invest money for yourself, and not rely solely on tee vee talking heads or even experienced financial planners to help you. Keep your $$ in a CD or high interest checking account so you have cash available when you need it.
Stay tuned here in the next few posts as I list some publications you really want to read. These will not give you the same old buy and hold bull – they will explain why the “advice” you’ve been getting has been skewed against you from the beginning. Start with Crash Proof, by Peter Schiff (the new edition, Crash Proof 2.0, is coming soon!).
Bottom line: Take advice from NO ONE. Not even us. And read outside the lines folks. Don’t take conventional wisdom for truth.
March 19th, 2009 — Budgeting, Credit Cards, Debt, Economic crisis, Pay For College, Retirement, Save Gas, Savings
Part II
Continued from yesterday…
In yesterday’s post, I started with some basic ideas for how to survive a depression. The signs aren’t looking good yet (despite what some tee vee shows want you to believe.) Think we’re headed for a depression? Having trouble keeping your head above financial water? To survive a depression, you’ll need as many resources as you can muster – money saved, skills learned, low expenses. We’re just starting here with some options for you to start putting even a little bit of cash away, and build a financial base on which to stand…Here are some ideas to deal with basic financial issues facing many people today.
Tough Decisions For Many Families
As a result of the financial turmoil, there are plenty of families which will be torn between putting aside money for retirement, and saving for college for their children’s college education. Many parents now paying for private school in grades K-12 are now rethinking that decision. As for college costs, they keep rising, and enrollment in local community colleges is skyrocketing. Yet do parents always have to pay for college? If high school age children are encouraged to do everything they can to apply for all available grants, treating it almost like a part time job, they may find that there is cash available. In addition, holding down a part time job or two in the summer can give teens a way to afford school. When parents give up financial security in their old age in favor of paying tuition today, that is probably a far bigger danger than the impact on their children of having to attend a community college instead of a major private university.
There are plenty of state colleges that are priced under $20,000 per year for state residents, including tuition, fees, books, and room and board. A part time job that pays $10-15 an hour can cover a large portion of that amount. Community colleges are far less, especially if the student lives at home for a year or two.
The biggest takeaway however is that students should treat any kind of college loan as an absolute last resort. The last thing a student needs, or a parent, is another pile of debt in an economy like this, which could be sluggish for a decade or more. Getting real about your finances is the only way to protect yourself in a depression – and that means that the American “but I want it NOW” attitude has got to change in favor of a prudent, smart, long-term wealth-protection strategy.
Saving as much as possible, getting a job, and spending time researching grant money, as well as attending an affordable school, is a good, Depression-defense strategy. Parents should just keep socking away as much as possible for retirement.
How About Vacations?
As of this writing, airlines are lowering costs as gas prices have come down and people are staying home in droves to save money. Vacations while of course wonderful, are a casualty of reductions in credit spending. How many vacations have you taken that were paid for in full with cash? Avoiding credit card debt can mean avoiding expensive vacations.
Yet there are plenty of options. Home swaps are one; there are agencies online that help you find a family interested in a trade. There are campgrounds with modern cabins, and hotel discount websites. Cheap travel websites about, including last minute travel deals, discount airfares, discount cruises and cheap hotels. Cutting the length of your stay is an option too. Visiting relatives or renting a vacation home together with friends is another way to keep costs down.
Why not explore locations closer to home too? Big cities like New York and San Francisco can be expensive, but history and sightseeing abound in out of the way locations like
Easton, Pennsylvania (a couple hours from New York City), or off the beaten track locations like St. Augustine, Florida, or Bethlehem, Pennsylvania, or medium-sized cities like Memphis, Austin, or Minneapolis-St. Paul. Get out into nature by exploring one of our greatest national treasures: the
National Park Service system.
If you’re taking a driving holiday, you might consider going a shorter distance. Anyone with an RV is still taking a hit on fuel costs, but consider staying longer at one location instead of more mileage.
Spend Less for Entertainment
Do you really have to cut back on entertainment jut because your budget is cut back? Not really. There are really hundreds of things you can do, for less. One website, GoCityKids, offers lists of things to do, free and paid, for dozens of locations around the country. Public libraries are now swamped with requests for movie rentals, music rentals, and the old-fashioned book. Many municipal and college libraries show films to the public. Schools, colleges and local orchestras offer free concerts. Some communities sell discount tickets to events like theater and concerts, along with movie and museum tickets.
Start a game night, movie night, potluck night with friends, or a neighborhood wine tasting. There are more ways to connect with your community than you probably knew – and it can enrich your experience of where you live.
Are We Addicted to Debt?
There’s a lot of finger-pointing out there about who caused the current economic crisis. It’s likely that we all had a part. Clearly, the warning flags have been up for some time, as Americans’ saving rate went negative (we borrow more than we earn in income) and we just kept spending money we didn’t have.
With life spans increasing, you’ll need more money to retire in any type of comfort level. If you start getting on track now, you can protect your retirement, rebuild what you might have lost, and avoid getting sucked in to the casino we call Wall Street. One important way is to break your debt addiction by getting rid of credit cards. Pay them off; cut them up. Will it hurt your FICO score? Who cares? You want to move away from a debt-oriented way of thinking, which FICO encourages. And if you bank cuts your credit line, that will hurt your FICO too, without your agreement! Having money in the bank and learning to live within your means is a better strategy than building up a credit-borrowing score to borrow more in the future. It’s time to break your addiction now!
Do you want to be 75 years old and having to work to pay off your credit card debt and rent? I didn’t think so.
When Will It Get Better?
Everything in our world is cyclical. It might take ten years to start to see improvements, or a return to personal wealth that we saw a mere one or two years ago. but in the mean time, you will be able to build a much stronger foundation than you had before, and learn more about being a good neighbor, and how to build real wealth and not just borrow money to have the image of wealth.
To survive a depression, you’ll need to seriously cut costs, and increase the money you do have, as well as skills that make you marketable or which you can barter or use to maintain your home, vehicle, lifestyle. But belt tightening doesn’t have to be painful, if you find creative ways to enjoy life instead of just buying more and bigger stuff. You can instead save money, build real wealth and pay down debt. That way, when “good times” return, you’ll already be there.
March 18th, 2009 — Economic crisis, Investing, Mutual Funds
For the first time since the 1930′s, people everywhere around the world are experiencing a severe economic contraction, a recession which some believe will go into a depression. Everyone’s quality of life is being affected, and will probably continue to be affected, for some time. The big question is, how to survive a depression: what do you need to do to protect your savings, your retirement, your job, and make sure you have some solid footing somewhere.
The first step is to get a view of what’s happening out there. We’re busy, we’re scared – but you have to stay informed. If you haven’t already, start reading, watch informative tee vee (if you can find it: we recommend Bloomberg or in a pinch, CNN, but skip CNBC altogether). Read the web, follow the money.
Of all the experts being trotted out to talk on television about when to start investing again, I haven’t seen any who have said, Now’s the time. In fact, they say the opposite: Things are too shaky, too sketchy, the profits just aren’t there. So let’s forget the stock market for now. Hopefully, your money, or what’s left of it, is in a money market, a cash vehicle, under your mattress, or a high interest online savings account where you can at least earn a couple percent while yo figure out what else to do.
Will The Economy Will Improve?
Well of course the economy is always in transition – but get ready for an economy where things could plateau for a very long time. Prices could fall in a deflationary environment, but for the short run, it won’t matter, if we don’t have available cash to buy with. So, one step you can take is to hope for the best but prepare for the worst.
Start finding ways to cut back, and live on less, and if you are working, then stash the difference in a high interest savings account. Most of these are online savings accounts, with HSBC or ING Direct. You’re not alone, as many families are cutting back, or doing without, just to make ends meet.
Nearly every family has two working parents. Now adults are taking on more than one job apiece. Find a way to make extra money online, or start a side business, to bring in some extra cash, even if it’s only a little, like selling things on
eBay, or
Craigslist. Given that companies lay off employees as their profits go south, it’s a good idea to get ready with emergency funds in case you lose your job, and if you’ve already lost your job, more ideas appear below.
How To Save on Gas As Prices Climb
While not so high right now, many economists say gas prices will keep rising partly due to less availability, production cuts, and weather storms causing gas to climb. Or, speculators could easily drive the price up again as they did in 2008 which led to $4 a gallon gas.
Even though as of this post, gas prices aren’t that bad, the likelihood is that forces will work to keep prices from falling very far either. Oil producing countries won’t lose much money before cutting production. To save money on gas is pretty easy: Drive less! Or, drive a more efficient car. Combine trips, walk, bike, or just don’t drive around just for fun. Carpool to work, skip the mall, and you’ll save money almost automatically.
The Looming Food Crisis
Food prices are relatively low right now, but a big problem is that weather patterns are more unstable. In addition, ethanol production has caused corn prices to rise. In 2008, there were food riots when this caused high prices around the world, including Mexico and Pakistan.
Oil prices, weather, and futures speculation can all cause prices to rise suddenly. Two good ways to combat food price hikes, as well as save money are (1) grow your own, and (2) buy less processed food and (3) eat less meat. Guess what? Coupons are not the way to go! Coupons offer very bad return on investment. For hours of time, ou may save $3, $4 or maybe even $10, but if you spend 3 hours “couponing“, that means you got paid $3.30 an hour! Not worth it. Not to mention, most coupons are for salty, fatty, processed foods with less nutritional value than what you can make yourself.
So, start a garden, even if it’s a small container garden. Look for local farmer’s markets. And at your grocery store, buy “around the edges” where the produce, dairy and fresh food is. Reduce your purchases of processed food. And make one or two meals a week meatless, like pizza, rice dishes, beans or tofu. It’s really not that time consuming to whip up a wonderful quick dinner, that’s healthy and affordable.
Particular to groceries, try comparing price per pound for items across the board. For example, eggs are about $1.50 per pound, and tofu is about $2 a pound. The nutritional value is greater than frozen meals that cost $3-4 for a 9 oz. serving. Compare, shop smart and save.
Where To Find Fun Money
So if you’re broke, or just trying to save, does that mean you can’t have fun? No! As far as I’m concerned, eating “beans and rice, rice and beans” like Dave Ramsey says, is bull-bleep. There are plenty of
easy ways to save money. If you’re budgeting, just include one or two fun things in your budget. For example, we spent a weekend away by getting amazing airfares and hotel prices using sites like Priceline, and “raised” extra money by selling stuff on eBay to cover our purchase. We shopped hard, budgeted and saved up, and had a great time! You can do the same. Go out to dinner using coupons from Resturants.com, where you can buy $25 gift certificates for $10. Have a fancy potluck supper with friends. There are many ways to have a good time on a budget.
Discretionay income was always a joke anyway – since we all just used credit cards to buy our fun stuff! Real “discretionary” income is cash you really have that’s extra that you set aside not for paying bills, but to enjoy life. So what Dave Ramsey, if it takes me an extra six months to pay off my credit card!
Still, Try To Get Rid Of Credit Card Debt
Americans are said to have between $4,000 and $8,000 avergae credit card balances. We’ve had a
spending addiction for decades, and its coming home to roost. Plus, now that the credit card banks are hurting, they’re jacking up fees and interest rates, cutting credit lines – who needs it!? Personally, I’ve lived without credit cards for more than a year. It sometimes is hard to want to buy something, and not have the cash – but it sure feels good at the end of the month to NOT have that bill! Anything thaty’s not on my monthly budget, I don’t really need anyway.
Paying off debt should come after putting aside emergency money. You don’t want to be paying more than the minimum on your credit cards if you then lose your job an have no cashs aved up! So, better to put aside 3-6 months of income into savings, and then pay more than the minium on your cards.
Of course it practically goes without saying, don’t apply for more credit cards. Store cards, gas cards, al are relaly tempting when yo uhave no ready cash. But it’s part of the lerning process we’re going through – how to live within our means. When you live within your means, that’s great, but then you can start spendign less on your epxenses than you earn – and that money goes toward your welath! Better that it go to your own family’s wealth than the wealth of Bank of America’s credit card arm.
Remember that credit card offers like rebates, air miles or cash back all increase prices for everyone, and 80% of those “benefits” are never used. No matter what, you should use plastic only when necessary and not to support a lifestyle. don’t fal lfor the trap that the more you spend the more you’ll get back.
Help From Government Stimulus?
We are, most of us anyway, now the recipients of reduced taxes thanks to the stimulus plan. This will account for a few bucks each paycheck, but hey, every little but helps. Just dont’ use this s a reasonnot to stick to you r budget - you might consier putting it instead into your 401(K) or an IRA to make it work for your future.
Remember, saving even $10 a week is $520 a year, and that’s real money!
Tomorrow we’ll post the rest of this list of ideas about how to survive a depression, so stay tuned.
March 7th, 2009 — Bonds, Cash, Economic crisis, Investing, Money market, Retirement
Here are just a few questions you won’t see asked or answered on the so-called money shows on television:
1. What if this is a depression? What if it’s not a short term bear market? What happens to my retirement money? Where should I put my money in a depression? Do you have any idea? (Remember – It took them a year to call a recession – only 12 months late… but we knew it, common sense told us.)
2. If 12-15% of Americans are out of a job (both those on unemploymnet and those who have run out of unemployment benefits and have just stopped looking), an unspecified percentage have part-time work that need full time work, and those of us with a job have no idea whether we might lose or keep the one we have, and none of us want to spend our money and we can’t get any credit, and even if we did, we probably won’t get our hand caught in that tiger trap again, tell me where will the profits come from so that big companies will make money, and start a new “bull” market? Or even an “up” market?
3. If you can move your money right now into an investment vehicle that will at least earn 2%, 3% or 4%, why shouldn’t I do that while I wait for the market to get better? (Don’t just tell me not to do it, tell me WHY. And then tell me why it’s OK to lose another 20% while I wait for the market to turn. And if you tell me again about what the market has earned “historically”, I will kick your ass. I am not stupid, I have a calculator…)
4. If you lose 20% YTD in your investment account, your new lower balance wil have to return 25% to get back to square 1. (For example: a loss of 20% off of $5,000 leaves yo with $4,000. But to make back $1000 on $4,000 is a jump of 25%.) So when they tell you to wait for the market to “come back” – how far will it have to increase to just get back to where you started?
5. What if the markets stay depressed for another ten years? And there is no climb like we’ve seen the past 30 years? We have already lost enough in the market to erase teh last 12 years of gains. So, should you believe them when they tell you to take a 20 year time horizon?
6. If you take your money out of the market, put your money in CDs or inflation adjusted bonds, or government bonds, or other more reliable vehicles, the huge Wall Street behemoth – financial advisors, mutual fund companies, television talk show hosts – they don’t make any money. Need I say more.
October 14th, 2008 — Cash, Economic crisis, Investing, Retirement, Savings
What to make of short term market swings? Don’t let them fool you:
US To Face Poor Economy for 10-15 Years: Robertson
Companies can only prosper when there are customers, and if customers have no cash and their credit is taken away, they can’t buy. Where do corporate profits and growth come from if there are no buyers? (Other than the illusory “productivity increases” – which does not equal “profitability”.)
A friend asked me yesterday what to do: In her retirement account, she’s lost all of her gains over the past 5 years plus lost 15% of her principal (not including fees). She asked, should she sell all her funds and invest only in money market funds?
My question to her: Do you really think the market will perform well enough in the next 2-3 years to not only “win” your 15% back but earn more for you? Do you want to learn enough about stocks and investing to take control of your own money to make that happen, and not to just take your broker’s word about “asset allocation” and what to do with your investment? (It didn’t help that her accounts are with a big-name brokerage making ridiculous fees for buying 6 funds that essentially trade all the same stocks…)
Both of her answers were no. Given that, she decided.
She is selling her funds, and putting them into money market accounts for now, until she can learn more about buying bonds and CDs inside her retirement account, or, until it looks like the market is actually rebounding somehow. She HATES the market, HATES stocks. Not everyone should be in mutual funds in their 401(K). The myths of defined benefit plans is hurting a lot of people. She got in because people told her that “historically the stock market returns 11%” or pick your favorite number. That historical number has NOTHING to do with what anyone can or will earn. It was never a sure thing, as so many are finding out right now.
Remember: I know nothing about investing, I’m not a professional, and have no idea what anyone should do with their money. Ever.
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