May 12th, 2009 — Economic crisis, ETFs, Get Rich, Investing, Make Money, Mutual Funds, stocks
One of the reasons people have lost so much money in the stock market recently, whether in their 401(K) accounts or otherwise, is that many of us never took the time to really learn to invest money. We were often “sold” the idea that mutual funds were safe, easy and didn’t require much in the way attention, because “over time” the stock market always goes up and stocks offer the best returns compared to bonds or other vehicles.
Well, that was pretty much not true. (Statistically, it’s only true if you are VERY selective in how you read historical data, and do not discount for inflation.) No matter what, all investors need to learn to invest stock, learn to invest money, and understand the stock market and how the cycles of the market work. In addition, it’s been pretty clear that the market was affected by unique financial instruments as well as a real estate bubble which continues to this day and may continue for the next few years.
So as you try to learn how to invest safely, whether it’s invest in stock, invest in bonds, or even invest in real estate, you have to realize you will never stop learning, because the market is dynamic and changing.
You will also find that there is no way to calculate returns, that is, promise returns of a certain percent, because “that’s what the market has returned historically”. the problem with that statement is that there is no historical measure that will match the exact years in which you are invested in the market. For example, if you started investing in the early 1990′s, after several crashed and discounting for inflation, you are pretty much back to where you started. Plus, historical returns do not mean that you will continue to get those in the future, as there are events that can occur – terrorism, bubbles and so on – that you can’t predict, and can affect your returns and investments dramatically.
There really isn’t any easy way to invest, because whatever else you do, you will have to put in the time to learn to invest according to your goals and risk tolerance, and it’s the time that few people have. You can’t simply rely on the market returns any more to just go up and up, so that you have a lot of cash when it’s time to retire. That does not mean there are not ways to invest money that will bring profits. It simply means that in order to make money in the market, you need to learn more, and also manage your accounts more actively than simply reassessing your holding once a year and that’s it.
To learn to invest money, the best way is to start with whatever services your broker offers. Many online brokers have a variety of educational materials, so that’s a good place to start. sites like Yahoo! Finance also offer many education materials and discussion groups for you to take advantage of. All of the major investing magazines, like Smart Money, Kiplinger’s and so on, have websites as well. That’s not to say that you should take their word for what to invest in, far from it. instead, use that information as a starting point. From there, you should also investigate good books about investing, from your local library, to learn to invest money in the right strategy for you.
May 10th, 2009 — Investing
A lot of folks are looking for “safe” ways to invest 401(K) in cash, thinking that it has to be safer than stocks, right? Well, not necessarily. Let me explain and then show you ways to invest in cash or cash-like vehicles.
If you don’t know how to invest, ANY form of investment is risky for you! The bottom line is, if you don’t learn to invest money whether in stocks, bonds or cash, you are taking chances you aren’t aware of. So, before buying investing in cash in your 401(K), let’s talk a bit about what they are.
Moving to a cash investment is a way to be safer, because various investments are insured, or are invested with the US Government. Remember though, to get a safe investment, you are usually losing the high returns that only come with risk. Returns like 8% and up are not easy to find, in safe vehicles, although what you believe is “safe” will differ with every person. So let’s look at a couple “safe” cash-like investments.
First, there really isn’t any investment that is as safe as having cold hard cash in hand. It’s ready when you need it, you don’t have to worry about being able to get your money in an emergency. However, as inflation rises, the value of your money also goes down. If there is an inflation rate of 5%, and you don’t keep your money somewhere it can earn at least that 5%, your money is suddenly only worth 95% of what it used to be. So, cash is safe, meaning you won’t lose the bills themselves, but you will start to lose value.
Where can you put money to earn a good rate of return, that’s as safe as cash? A savings account, insured by the FDIC, meaning the US Government, is an account that is insured up to $250,000. This just means that if the bank holding the account fails, the Federal government will make sure you are repaid. Right now, though, the interest rate being paid is very low, between 0.25% and 1.5%, unless you have $5,000 to invest. Even then, you won’t see rates much over 3%. Remember – You are getting SAFETY so you are not getting HIGH RETURNS.
Most 401(K) plans offer some kind of savings account option, usually intended for employees who are nearing retirement and want to play it safe, but anyone can choose these as an investment.
Beyond savings accounts, there are money markets funds. some of these funds are covered by FDIC insurance, or other types of federal insurance, but not all of them are. In addition, not all 401(K) plans offer this option. A money market account usually pays slightly higher than savings accounts, but minimum balances may be required. Compare this type of account to the savings option, and be sure to ask whether the deposits are insured.
The next type of cash-like investment is bonds. Bonds are a little confusing. Basically, though, a bond is like a loan, where your a lending money to a federal, state or local entity or a corporation. Bonds have ratings, which are supposed to tell you how safe they are, however recently we’ve learned that not all ratings are to be believed. Triple “A” rated bonds, “AAA”, are the safest, with pluses, and minuses, down to “C” rated bonds, which are the lowest, and called “junk” bonds. While these may be junk, they also pay the highest returns.
So which bonds, if any, are safe? It’s often thought that Treasury bonds are safest, since they are backed by the US Treasury. China thinks so; it’s how they lend us all that money. however again, really safe means really low return. Right now, returns on treasury bonds are under 3%. how about other savings bonds?
There are also mutual funds and ETFs that let you invest in what are called inflation indexed bonds. These are bonds issued by the US Government and the return changes as inflation rises. These can be bought individually from the Treasury, however by buying a mutual fund or ETF which invests in these bonds, you are more easily able to buy and sell without owning the bond itself. Remember that if you own the bond, it has the backing of the US Treasury, and you are insured from loss, however a fund or ETF investing in those bonds does not pass along that insurance to you. This adds a little additional risk there.
Returns for these types of bonds are, as of this writing, around 5.5%, and the funds trading in these bonds are currently returning anywhere from 4% to 6% interest. This is a better way to have your money in relatively safe vehicles, while getting a better return and additional liquidity for your investment.
There are many other bond options, which are very detailed, and too long to go into here, but here is a list of some of the kinds of bonds you can explore and ask about:
- Federal Agency bonds
- Municipal (state and local government) bonds
- Utilities (raising money for public utilities)
- Corporate bonds (corporations raise money from private investors – bondholder)
The bond ratings will determine the rate of return. Risky, or low-rated bonds will pay you a higher return, even as much as 14-15%, however there is a greater risk that the entity will default and you can lose your money. Buying these inside a bond mutual fund or ETF means you are buying a more diversified basket of bonds, so th risk may be lower. Generally, within a 401(K) account however, it is unlikely that you will see either ETFs being offered (they don’t collect enough fees for the broker) or higher interest, high risk bond funds (too risky for your employer, since they don’t want to be blamed if you lose money).
Since the stock market crash in 2008, many brokers including discount brokers are making a lot more information available about bonds. We like TradeKing and use it ourselves, for all the discussion forums, and educational materials teaching you how to invest. Many brokers have educational materials, easy screens to help you find and purchase the right bonds for you, with acceptable risk for your risk tolerance level. If you have any question about details of a bond purchase, including ratings, fees, minimum investments, or whether something is covered by federal deposit insurance, do not hesitate to ask your broker or get more information before investing.
This is just a beginning as you learn to invest money, and where to invest your 401(K) in cash, to have a bit more safety than all stocks.
May 5th, 2009 — Bonds, Cash, Economic crisis, ETFs, Investing, Money market, Mutual Funds, Online Savings Account, Savings
So say we do have a depression, or a real bad recession. History shows that only through massive government spending – in the 1930′s it was WWII coming along, gov’t spending for the war – can we get out of the trough. It’s pretty clear the Prez is spending like crazy. But keep in mind, that some of the expenditures are also investments. Investments in a big way. Investments we’d be wise to mirror in our own portfolios.
Not only that – but the idea is, these investments will spur the kind of re-growth that builds our economy back up, but without the war and bloodshed. What exactly are our options here?
First – the green economy – green tech, green jobs – anything and everything green. Like it or not, industry new and old will have to be green. Believe in global warming or not, there is nothing wrong with making the world a cleaner place. In fact, it will make many, many people rich. And hopefully provide a planet on which to enjoy this new wealth. Will you be in on it, is the question?
Many people argue that green investment and things like cap and trade is in reality a tax on consumers of electricity. But that misses some major points. For example, we do not account for the “externals”, that is, we are not paying for the destruction we commit when we burn coal and create other greenhouse gases. We must begin to pay, because we can’t ignore the cost any longer. But also, with new green technology, the need to use dirty fuel will begin to lessen, so your costs as a consumer can go down thorugh conservation and adopting green alternatives. You won’t pay a consumption tax on something you don’t consume!
And keep in mind – the horse and buggy industry collapsed when cars came along. The mass transit revolution was trashed by government pushing cars and roads. So, here we are in another phase, where newer, better technologies are going to push out old dirty ones, and some companies will take a hit. But not for long, as alternatives come in like gangbusters into the marketplace.
Next there’s health care. Through technology there are major cost reductions to be had. The money is already flowing as part of the stimulus package.
A third investment the government is making is the auto industry. While it’s pretty volatile now, there’s a big committment to making sure we don’t lose all three automakers. which one or ones are left standing will grow into the future. (Could the Feds be unwiling to let GM go due to the release of the Volt next year? That works both for a green play and an auto play..)
Fourth, infrastructure and “shovel ready” future investments. A lot of increase has probably been built into companies short term already, but considering that there are a lot of bridges to be recuilt and schools and roads and so on, related industries re worth a look.
Ask yourself: What companies are on that bandwagon? What ETFs? What mutual funds? Look to invest in these in your 401(K), or start a self-directed IRA if you can’t invest in them through your workplace. Keep your eyes and ears open. Learn about the varity of investemtns out there. Don’t just save, but also conserve, put themoney aside into investments that make sense ina depression scenario. Don’t be a victim of it, ride the wave instead.
May 3rd, 2009 — Investing, Money market, Mutual Funds, Savings
You know, it’s hard to know whether to invest in mutual funds right now, with this crazy, volatile market. While I’m happy to muse here, I always am careful to say, I am just another person out there and no expert on investing or anything. Yet I know BS when I hear it, from television talking heads, and I know I’m more right than they are, because I did pretty well in the downturn since early 2008. So take what I say as just some ideas, something to think about, that might be different form what you’re hearing generally out there, the “conventional wisdom” if you will, which wasn’t so wise for the past ten months.
The biggest question I’m asked by friends and folks who know me and my track record is, when is it good to get back into mutual funds, or should I be in mutual funds or cash? There’s a big misconception here that has to be cleared up first, and that has to do with what is a mutual fund, and how do mutual funds work.
A mutual fund is a specifically designated account, in which investors invest money, allowing the fund manager to select different stocks or bonds to invest in for the investors. There is usually some kind of guideline as to the objective of the fund – such as, growth or income or both. It’s set up so that the dividends are split among the investors, as are the costs, and as an investor in a mutual fund, you are also an owner in the underlying investments.
Mutual funds became big because many people wanted to diversify without buying individual stocks, or just didn’t want to learn to invest in stocks. Retirement funds, 401(K)s and others, also made mutual funds more attractive, because employers could just give employees a list of mutual funds and employees didn’t have to learn anything about investing in the market (or at least that was the theory). You just buy mutual funds and hold forever until you’re rich – simple! Well, not so simple.
Without really knowing what was in the underlying mutual funds, and just blindly buying whatever color you were told to on the “allocation recommendation” chart from your employer’s fund manager, you kind of got screwed. As for other investors, they put money into mutual funds as though they were individual stocks, again, without knowing what was in the underlying fund.
A mutual fund, by the way, can hold bonds, or cash, or stocks. By getting out of mutual funds, you aren’t necessarily doing yourself a favor. There might be some mutual funds – like government bond funds – that have actually held up OK, better than a savings or money market option perhaps. So, you need to understand what is a mutual fund, and then choose accordingly.
Now, that said, you get BS from people like Dave Ramsey, or Carmen Wong Ulrich on CNN, who continue to tell the lie about 12% or 14% returns on “good growth stock mutual funds”. HELLO PEOPLE – if you’re looking for annual averages like those, they don’t exist any more, if they ever did! (Note the dates they cite from – usually something like “if you invested from 1984 to present” or “since the Great Depression” – completely unrelated to YOUR investment timeline…) This kind of poor advice makes only one person profit -the broker! They don’t want you to take your money out of the fee-generating funds, but the people getting screwed here are the ones listening to myths about “locking in losses” or “missing the upturn”. Ignore them. Learn to invest. Look at your balances and tell me if their advice is any good?
Or, just take a look at your favorite fund company’s prospectus for any given fund. Show me one that has earned 12% for the past ten years, or even since inception. Good luck with that. In fact, stock funds are down where they were ten years ago. It’s time to learn about mutual funds and not just blindly listen to someone who has no idea what they’re talking about when it comes to investing.
So, knowing all of that, what do you do? It’s hard to reinvest in index funds, because for example, the S&P is heavily weighted with volatile financial stocks. But you can’t really pick and choose stocks if you want to, or if you have to put your money in mutual funds as in a retirement account. Until you leave or lose your job and roll over into a self directed brokerage account – we recommend TradeKing
.
You can also open self-directed Roth IRA accounts, Traditional IRAs and other accounts to take investing matters into your own hands. And while the indices have been climbing slowly back the past month, professionals in the markets are suggesting that this is a temporary bull market, that the underlying fundamentals – consumer spending, credit markets, etc. – are just not there to sustain high numbers going forward. Probably better to wait or start small for now.
The best thing you can do is to test the waters with some of your money – put a small percentage back in, and average up, as the market climbs put a little in again at a time. But pay attention, and don’t worry about small bumps down, but DO keep your eyes and ears open to see what the market’s doing, and know what your fallback is, whether it’s government bond funds or cash. It is not a bad idea to sit and wait for sustained upturns int he market, if mutual fund investing – as opposed to buying stocks, options and shorts – is your only choice right now. (PS – we recommend that if you get it on your cable channel, watch Bloomberg TV instead of CNBC or CNN. Less BS, more facts.)
May 2nd, 2009 — ETFs, Investing, Money market, What To Invest In Right Now
A big question in this crazy market it, “What should I invest in right now?” – especially if you are looking for investments that will protect your principal and also possibly make money.
The days of just parking your cash in an index mutual fund and waiting for 20 years are long gone. It might be helpful to talk a little bit about setting up some self directed accounts, including a self directed IRA, what that means and why you shouldn’t be afraid to buy individual stocks, as well as options and other types of investments.
When you invest in a mutual fund, you are giving all the control and authority to the fund manager to pick and choose stocks, to buy and sell as they see fit. (If you’re investing in a 401(K), you are giving all the control to your plan administrator – you can’t pick and choose among ALL mutual funds, only among those they decide are good for you.) You have to trust that fund manager to make choices you agree with. You have to trust that they understand what’s going on in the market.
However as so many experts are fond of noting, the large majority of fund managers failed to beat the stock indices, like the S&P 500 Index. So, lots of people started parking their money into what they thought were best index funds. For a while there, the funds did follow the stock markets, and did as well as the indices did, which wasn’t bad – until the markets crashed, and kept crashing. And so did all the index funds.
How can an average investor ever again feel confident or secure enough to get back into the markets? If you still think it should be as easy as just sending in your check, then you are better off putting your money in a cash savings account or under the mattress. To avoid losing, you need to learn something about investing.
Here’s just one solution. First, you need to learn to invest money. No matter how expert you are, or how many years you’ve been in the market, there is always something more to learn. But abandon the idea that you can just send your check to the mutual fund every paycheck. That’s over. You need to learn more about the funds, about stocks, and about what options are out there if the markets turn down again. One good choice today is to learn about using Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) instead of mutual funds – they trade like stocks, don’t have the same management fees and minimums to get invested, and you can buy a broad range of index funds, currencies, commodities and other investments that would otherwise be tough to get into for a new investor.
Next, you need to open an account where you can make all the decisions. If you currently have a retirement account through your employer, you should seriously consider opening up a self directed IRA as well. the reason is, many Americans can take advantage of an IRA when they don’t have access to other retirement options, or take an additional tax credit. For small business owners, there are self directed IRA plans such as a SEP-IRA that you can also open.
There are plenty of discount brokers out there. There is also a ton of websites where you can learn more about stock investing that you ever wanted to. This site recommends TradeKing as the best
- fees are low, and they have awesome forums, educational materials, trading platforms and they have the Trader Network allowing you to follow top traders, ask questions and much more.
When you open a self directed account, you can open a regular brokerage account, or retirement accounts (IRA) or custodial accounts (UTMA, UGMA, Coverdell) for your kids’ investing. You can also open small business owner retirement accounts like SEP-IRA. Here is where you can take control of your retirement investments, and not delegate it to someone without knowing more. You can put a little money here to work with, until you learn more and step by step take back control of your investing.
All self directed means is that you decide and make the trade yourself, usually online, without having a broker or financial advisor do it for you. Using a discount broker with a lot of educational materials is key, and also to take small steps. You can buy safe investments in your self-directed account, like CDs or bonds, but you can also buy mutual funds, or exchange traded funds (ETFs) instead of mutual funds if you choose. You can also, as you learn more and bcome more comfortable with risk, branch out into options trading to help hedge your investment risk.
There is a lot involved in learning to invest money, and do well in the markets. With a self directed account, and taking the time to learn what should you invest in right now, you can learn what you need to know to profit from the incredible opportunities that will be coming up in the future.